Is Now the Right Time to Buy? A Look at Canada's 2026 Housing Market

Darlene Nieboer • March 17, 2026

A Deep Dive into the 2026 Canadian Real Estate Landscape

For many Canadians, the dream of homeownership has felt like a moving target. After years of market volatility, shifting interest rates, and economic uncertainty, you might be wondering: is 2026 finally the year to make a move?

It's the biggest financial question for many households, and the answer isn't a simple yes or no. It depends on your personal circumstances, financial readiness, and where you are in the country. Let's break down the key factors shaping Canada's 2026 housing market so you can decide if now is the right time for you.

The National Picture: A Market in Transition

After a period of correction, Canada's housing market is showing signs of a gradual recovery, but it's not the frenzied pace we saw during the pandemic. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) forecasts a 5.1% increase in home sales in 2026, driven by pent-up demand from buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines.

However, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) notes that sales will likely remain below historical averages, with the market facing headwinds from a slower economy, modest income growth, and elevated unemployment levels.

What to Expect in 2026

  • National Home Sales: Recovery is underway with a 5.1% increase expected, driven by pent-up demand. However, sales will still remain below historical highs as economic uncertainty continues to weigh on buyer confidence.
  • National Average Price: Prices are forecast to rise modestly by 2.8% to $698,881. This represents steady, sustainable growth rather than the sharp spikes we saw during the pandemic years.
  • New Construction: Housing starts are projected to decline as developers face high construction costs, weaker demand, and rising inventories of unsold units. Fewer new homes being built could put upward pressure on prices in the long term.
  • Mortgage Rates: Variable rates are holding steady while fixed rates remain uncertain. The current rate environment offers some stability, but affordability continues to be a key challenge for many buyers.

Interest Rates: The Elephant in the Room

Mortgage rates have been a major factor for homebuyers. The good news is that the Bank of Canada has held its policy interest rate at 2.25% in early 2026, providing some stability for variable-rate mortgages. However, fixed rates may still see some upward pressure.

Many homeowners who secured ultra-low rates during the pandemic are now facing renewals at higher rates, which is tightening household budgets. For new buyers, the current rate environment is a significant improvement from the highs of 2024, but affordability remains a key challenge.

Regional Deep Dive: Where Are the Opportunities?

Canada's housing market is not a monolith. The story is very different depending on where you live.

Ontario & British Columbia: The Rebound

These two provinces, which saw the most significant downturns, are now poised for the strongest rebounds. CREA projects sales to increase by over 8% in both Ontario and BC in 2026. This is largely driven by pent-up demand from buyers who have been waiting for prices to stabilize.

However, the CMHC warns that housing starts in Ontario are projected to fall to near two-decade lows, which could put upward pressure on prices in the long run.

The Prairies & Quebec: Steady and Affordable

Markets in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Quebec have remained more stable and are expected to see continued growth, albeit at a more moderate pace. Alberta, in particular, stands out for its relative affordability, with prices well below the national average.

The First-Time Homebuyer Opportunity

If you're a first-time homebuyer, 2026 could present a unique window of opportunity. After years of being priced out, many are finding that the combination of lower prices and stabilized interest rates has brought homeownership back within reach.

Furthermore, the government has introduced several programs to help first-time buyers, including:

  • First-Time Home Buyers' GST/HST Rebate: A new rebate designed to help you recover some of the taxes paid on a new home.
  • Home Buyers' Plan (HBP): The withdrawal limit from your RRSP has been increased to $60,000, giving you more flexibility to fund your down payment.
  • First Home Savings Account (FHSA): A powerful savings tool that allows you to save for a down payment tax-free, helping you build your nest egg faster.

So, Is It Your Time to Buy?

While the market is showing positive signs, the decision to buy a home is deeply personal. Here are a few questions to ask yourself:

  • Is my income stable and secure? Job security is crucial when taking on a mortgage commitment that could last decades.
  • Have I saved a sufficient down payment? A larger down payment not only reduces your mortgage but can also help you avoid costly mortgage insurance.
  • Is my credit score in good shape? Your credit score directly impacts the mortgage rates you'll qualify for and could save you thousands over the life of your loan.
  • Am I prepared for the long-term costs of homeownership? Beyond the mortgage, you'll need to budget for property taxes, maintenance, insurance, and unexpected repairs.

Navigating the housing market can be complex, but you don't have to do it alone. A trusted mortgage professional can help you understand your options, get pre-approved, and determine if now is the right time for you to enter the market.

Ready to explore your options? Let's talk. I can help you make sense of the market and find a mortgage solution that fits your life and your goals.

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Darlene Nieboer
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Downpayment Options

By Darlene Nieboer • April 1, 2026
Your downpayment refers to the initial payment you make when buying a property through mortgage financing. A downpayment is always required when purchasing, because in Canada, lenders are only allowed to lend up to 95% of the property value, leaving you with the need to come up with at least 5% for a downpayment. In fact, securing mortgage financing with anything less than 20% down is only made possible through mortgage default insurance. Canada has three default insurance providers: the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), Sagen (formerly Genworth Canada), and Canada Guaranty. There is a cost for default insurance which is usually rolled into the total mortgage amount and is tiered depending on how much you put down. As your downpayment can be a significant amount of money, you probably need a plan to put this money together. So, let’s take a look at some of the options you have to come up with a downpayment. Money from your resources If you’ve been saving money and have accumulated the funds and set them aside for to use for your downpayment, you'll need to prove a 90-day history of those funds. As far as the lender is concerned, this is the most straightforward way to prove a downpayment. Any large deposits to your bank account that aren’t from payroll will require you to prove the source of funds. For example, if you recently sold a vehicle, you’ll need to provide the paperwork as proof of ownership, which corresponds to your account’s deposit. Or, if you have funds in an investment account that you’ve transferred over, statements of that transfer or account would suffice. You have to prove the source of your downpayment funds to the lender when qualifying for a mortgage to help prevent money laundering. Funds from the sale of another property If you’ve recently sold a property and you’re using the proceeds of that sale as the downpayment from your new purchase, you can provide the paperwork from that transaction to substantiate your downpayment. RRSPs through the Home Buyer’s Plan Okay, so let’s say you don’t have all the money set aside in your savings, but you do have cash in your RRSP. Assuming you’re a first-time homebuyer, you can access the funds from your RRSP Tax-Free to use as a downpayment. You’re able to access up to $35k individually or $70k as a couple. The money has to be paid back over the next 15 years. If you’d like more information on what this program looks like, please get in touch. Gifted downpayment Now, if you don’t have enough money in your savings, but you have a family member who is willing to help, they can gift you funds for your downpayment. With the increased cost of living, making it harder to save for a downpayment, receiving a gift from a family member is becoming increasingly commonplace. Now, to qualify, the gift has to come from an immediate family member who will sign a gift letter indicating there is no schedule of repayment and that the gift doesn’t have to be repaid. Proof that the money has been deposited into your account is required through bank statements. Gifted funds can make up part of or the entire amount of downpayment. For example, if you purchase a property for $300k and have $10k saved up, your parents can gift you the remaining $5k to make up the total 5% downpayment. Borrowed downpayment Suppose you aren’t fortunate enough to have a family member who can gift you a downpayment, but you have excellent credit and a high income compared to the amount you’re looking to borrow. In that case, you might qualify to borrow part or all of your downpayment. It’s possible to borrow your downpayment as long as you include the payments in your debt service ratios. Typically this is 3% of the outstanding balance. So there you have it, to qualify for a mortgage, you’ll need to come up with a downpayment. That can be through your resources, a property you sold, an RRSP, a gift from a family member, borrowed funds, or a combination of all five sources. If you’d like to discuss your downpayment or anything else related to mortgage financing; It’s never too early to start the conversation about getting pre-approved for a mortgage. Please connect anytime. It would be a pleasure to work with you!
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Pay Down Your Mortgage Faster

By Darlene Nieboer • March 25, 2026
Being a home owner is excellent, having a huge mortgage isn’t. So, if you have a mortgage that you’re looking to get rid of as quickly as possible, here are four things you should consider doing. Accelerate your payments Making the change from monthly payments to accelerated bi-weekly payments is one of the easiest ways you can make a difference to the bottom line of your mortgage. Most people don’t even notice the difference or increased payment. A traditional mortgage with monthly payments splits the amount owing annually into 12 equal payments. Accelerated biweekly is simply taking a regular monthly payment and dividing it in two, but instead of making 24 payments, you make 26. The extra two payments accelerate the paying down of your mortgage. Increase your regular mortgage payments Chances are, depending on the terms of your existing mortgage, you can increase your regular mortgage payment by 10-25%. Alternatively, some lenders even offer the ability to double-up your mortgage payments. These are great options as any additional payments will be applied directly to the principal amount owing on your mortgage instead of a prepayment of interest. Make a lump-sum payment Depending on your lender and your mortgage product, you should be able to put down anywhere from 10-25% of the original mortgage balance in a bulk payment. Some lenders are particular about when you can make these payments; however, you should be eligible if you haven’t taken advantage of a lump sum payment yet this year. Making a lump-sum payment is a great option if you’ve come into some money and you’d like to apply it to your mortgage. As this will lower your principal amount owing on the mortgage, it will reduce the amount of interest charged over the life of the mortgage. Review your options regularly As your mortgage payments debit from your bank account directly, it’s easy to put your mortgage on auto-pilot and not think twice about it until your term is up for renewal. Unfortunately, this removes you from the driver's seat and doesn’t allow you to make informed decisions about your mortgage or keep up to date with market conditions. So let’s talk about an annual mortgage review. Working through an annual mortgage review with an independent mortgage professional is beneficial as there may be opportunities to refinance your mortgage and lower your overall cost of borrowing. By reviewing your mortgage at least once a year, you can be sure that you’ve always got the best mortgage for you! There is no cost involved here, just a quick assessment and peace of mind. If you’ve got questions about your existing mortgage or want to compare your mortgage to options available today, please connect anytime. It would be a pleasure to work with you.